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James Emanuel's avatar

Q3 figures have resulted in a draw down presenting an interesting entry opportunity today.

While the quarter was softer than the corresponding period last year, the nine-months to September were better than last year. Quarterly cyclicality in the oil and gas sector is nothing new.

The investment thesis still looks very much in tact.

Key points I pulled out of the quarterly release:

(a) Third quarter saw a reduction in activity... for two primary reasons. First was apprehension and preparation for a potentially severe forest fire season, leading some customers to delay the execution of planned projects to the end of the forest fire season. The second reason was some customers took advantage of the summer months to allow employees extended time off to prepare employees for the up coming demands of another year of busy field activity

(b) The increasing demand for natural gas power generation systems indicates a shift towards lower emission alternatives, and going forward, market conditions remain favourable for the energy sector, resulting in increased drilling, completion, and infrastructure projects. These factors are expected to continue for the remainder of 2024 and 2025.

(c) During the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the Company acquired $13,452,761 of capital assets, primarily for natural gas power generation equipment and facilities, upgrading existing equipment, and meeting specific requests from customers.

(d) Enterprise announced a new five year exclusivity agreement with FlexEnergy Solutions... The agreement positions Enterprise... as the sole provider of short-term turbine and microturbine applications across all commercial and industrial sectors in Alberta and British Columbia.

My take away from this are:

1. Low activity in Q3 will very likely translate to higher activity in the quarters to follow

2. Both customers and Enterprise are gearing up for an acceleration in activity

3. We still have the LNG revolution happening from 2025 in Canada

4. The company is still expanding into adjacent industries and expanding its territorial reach

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James Emanuel's avatar

A note for anyone following Enterprise. Q2 is a soft quarter, not because of a cyclical slow down in demand, but because after the winter thaw, the ground is very wet and moving large, heavy equipment is impossible for Enterprise (or its competitors). So all the site equipment that Enterprise supplies to its clients either needs to be in place prior to this period, or else wait until the summer warmth dries out the ground. As such, the spring quarter is quiter than others.

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